Shock poll: Republican Ed Gillespie now leads Virginia governor race

Posted October 19, 2017

In Virginia, where the Wason Center found Trump's approval at 33%, Democrat Ralph Northam's voters are unified in their disapproval, while Republican Ed Gillespie's voters are divided. In that poll, Northam's lead shrunk by several percentage points from earlier this month. Northam led Gillespie, 48% to 44%, in the first part of the survey, released Tuesday. Northam is trying to tie Gilespie, a traditional Republican, to Trump. She says they'll also be doing a more thorough screening of voters... because they really want make sure they poll people in the last two who will definitely vote.

On education: Northam 39; Gillespie 28.

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On crime: Gillespie 40; Northam 24.

In northern Virginia, however, more than half (54 percent) say Mr. Trump is a factor in their vote. Gillespie posed to Northam.

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The survey's margin of error is +/- 4.2 percent.

Almost half of the likely voters in Virginia (45%) say they see their vote for governor as a way to send a message to Trump and the Republicans who control Congress.

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Fairfax, however, has made no such concessions, and Northam's campaign is clearly concerned that his failure to even begrudgingly accept the pipeline will endanger the Democratic ticket with powerful union voices in the state, and among voters who ally themselves with big labor. It's remarkable that a candidate who has always been favored to win the race - and who now serves as second-in-command to the state's fairly popular Democratic governor Terry McAuliffe - has to both pacify union supporters and appease environmentalists in order to piece together a November victory. Former President George W. Bush held private fundraisers for Gillespie on Monday.